Within 10% of expected resistances is good. I just looked at the Seduction product page, all stripes, negative terminals, are North, toward the top of the page EXCEPT the one for the heaters. The stripe on it is South. It shows the same on Wardsweb's site.
New capacitor failures are quite rare if they are installed right. Well, you have to have the rectifier diodes in the right direction too (banded ends toward Terminal 25 for both diodes). You have verified both so I would have to say this was that one rare cap failure.