Just to clarify something, in the photo of the underside of the board the black wire appears to be connected to the Kreg terminal. I had to disconnect it from the -reg terminal to remove the capacitor and it only appears to be connected at Kreg. It was connected correctly before I removed the capacitor.
Just for the heck of it I measured the resistance across the capacitors. I don’t know if this helps but here are the values:
A side (the problem side)
0.1uf 400V = 146
2.2uf 250V = 145.8
B side
0.1uf 400V = 34.2
2.2uf 250V = 35.4
That’s a pretty big difference so it should be an indication of something.